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Learn how your comment data is processed. Thus, behaviour that contravenes the spirit of the agreements needs to—at a minimum—remain on the covert side of overt-covert. So, while the agreements may not do much to stem the tide, they can still forestall escalation. On the other side of this coin is tacit acceptance of behaviours below that threshold. However, given the nature of cyberspace as a readily exploitable domain which affords deniability—if not anonymity—preventing these behaviours would be exceedingly difficult, and almost certainly beyond the feasible scope of any international agreement.
Second, international norms can emerge through practice given time and favourable circumstances, regardless of intent.
By using this site, you agree to the Terms of Use and Privacy Policy. The Three Warfares conceptual framework organizes different information-related non-kinetic operations for influencing adversary behavior into three categories:. Amazon Renewed Refurbished products with a warranty. Customers who bought this item also bought. Counterterror Strategy in Sub-Saharan
The history of the chemical weapons norm demonstrates this well. After the experiences of World War I, the belligerents entered World War II fully expecting a return to chemical warfare in short order, even in the face of an expansive inter-war campaign against it and several international agreements endeavouring to prohibit it.
Nevertheless, those agreements—which few believed were any serious barrier—did still function as a de facto no-first-use framework. As none of the belligerents considered it strategically advantageous to initiate a return to chemical warfare themselves, the result was non-use. Regardless of the reason, the simple fact of non-use served as a confirmation of the inherently objectionable character of chemical weapons. This, in turn, led to the relatively robust norm against their use today.
In effect, the intent behind behaviour can matter less than the behaviour itself. It is equally possible that behavioural expectations emerging from even half-hearted international agreements addressing security in cyberspace today may yield a comparable outcome in the future, without that ever being the design.
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Knowledge of these “Three Warfares” — as they became known in Chinese military writings — slowly dispersed to Western security analysts. China and the 'Three Warfares'. Beijing is increasingly exploiting information operations for influence in areas of strategic competition.
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